Oklahoma’s 2025 winter wheat harvest is projected at 101.169 million bushels, with an average yield of 35.9 bushels per acre (bpa), according to an annual crop tour by state experts. While this marks a 6.6% decline from 2024’s 108.3M bushels, industry estimates (averaging 103.336M bushels at 37.2 bpa) suggest slightly better prospects.
Key Drivers:
- Planted Acres Down: Oklahoma farmers sowed 5% fewer wheat acres this year (USDA data).
- Weather Whiplash: A record-wet April followed a dry winter, causing localized flooding but rescuing drought-hit southern fields.
- Harvest Timing: Expected to begin in southwest Oklahoma by June 1, with Kansas’ pivotal crop tour next week.
Market Context:
- Price Pressure: KC July wheat futures ($5.25/bushel last week) hover near 3.5-year lows, reflecting global oversupply concerns.
- USDA Watch: The agency’s first 2025 winter wheat forecast (due May 12) will clarify national output trends.
Oklahoma Winter Wheat Crop Forecast at 101M Bushels Amid Record April Rains