Brazil’s 2025 coffee crop is at risk of suffering losses if unfavorable weather conditions persist, according to Guilherme Vinicius Teixeira, an agronomist at Cooxupe, the country’s largest coffee cooperative. He reported that many coffee crops have experienced over 120 days without rain, leading to critically low soil moisture levels in key producing areas such as South Minas Gerais and Cerrado Mineiro.
Teixeira emphasized the need for farmers to be vigilant about crop care, including irrigation and proper fertilization. The erratic weather patterns, including frosts and high temperatures with limited rainfall, have already impacted the 2024 crop, which is approximately 80% harvested and expected to be smaller than initially anticipated.
The warmest May in a decade, combined with below-normal rainfall, has caused coffee fruits to mature too quickly, resulting in smaller beans and reduced overall production.
Agricultural weather expert Marco Antonio dos Santos indicated that while rains are expected to arrive around the end of September, their regularity could improve conditions for the flowering stage of the next crop. However, plants in poor condition may struggle to convert flowers into fruits.