Indonesia’s cocoa output is anticipated to decrease this year as the lingering effects of last year’s El Niño weather pattern continue to impact production, according to the cocoa farmers’ association. The dry season experienced last year was the most severe since 2019, with the prolonged El Niño phenomenon causing drought conditions that adversely affected cocoa yields.
Arif Zamroni, the head of the cocoa farmers’ association, stated that while some plantation areas have begun to yield crops, overall production is still feeling the effects of El Niño. He estimates this year’s cocoa production will reach up to 230,000 metric tons, a significant drop from last year’s output of approximately 315,000 tons.
Zamroni noted, “We are still recovering after El Niño hit us since October last year; it might be more stable in June.” The industry ministry has reported an 8.3% annual decline in the country’s cocoa output from 2015 to 2023.
To enhance cocoa production, Indonesia plans to utilize funds from its palm oil export levy to support the development of the cocoa and coconut sectors. Currently, a 0-15% export tax on cocoa beans is in place, with revenues managed by the country’s palm oil fund management agency (BPDPKS).
Zamroni expressed optimism but emphasized the need for long-term support for farmers in addition to funding to ensure successful production increases. Despite being the world’s fourth-largest exporter of cocoa products last year, Indonesia had to import 62% of the cocoa beans required for its industry.